Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.722970 9.766882 10.951442 12.409523 14.176332 16.275171 18.999470
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.995829 8.290713 9.896597 12.086574 15.083694 19.188717 25.531279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.115245 7.510813 9.343834 12.024513 16.032443 22.170668 33.201894
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.502175 6.937031 8.904120 11.941025 16.820108 25.050584 42.113267
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.166097 6.672166 8.821251 12.317453 18.356854 29.653564 57.344796
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.689504 6.145702 8.275299 11.855884 18.340518 31.361188 67.543280
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.286057 5.681890 7.763404 11.357627 18.127174 32.575943 77.666197
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.985695 5.341842 7.402363 11.053938 18.205663 34.465012 92.187977
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.778577 5.123302 7.207680 11.007098 18.778799 37.785695 117.159756
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.759796 5.189759 7.476264 11.835305 21.412560 48.014305 201.997316
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.678628 5.149095 7.558827 12.322600 23.437560 58.064797 345.349464
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.529338 4.986184 7.413221 12.331576 24.302712 64.926919 532.812270
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.368054 4.806680 7.247047 12.330892 25.318010 74.187387 1005.018924
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.170946 4.557034 6.937930 11.995198 25.372687 79.821405 1807.161453
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.030272 4.391828 6.766591 11.933350 26.215902 90.756719 5843.095949
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.900936 4.236434 6.598145 11.850785 26.984185 102.893120 80080.875699
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.836094 4.187102 6.624384 12.222957 29.394785 131.582662 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.685535 3.977975 6.323857 11.766597 28.794967 136.171133 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.542811 3.775470 6.022620 11.273856 27.941310 137.689769 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.430992 3.622339 5.808546 10.973471 27.733832 145.944439 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.353303 3.526115 5.700620 10.927138 28.499992 167.716411 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.363191 3.587774 5.914754 11.746249 33.182281 269.890493 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.338592 3.584503 5.995065 12.228045 36.800987 408.197834 NaN